The 2023 ADGA National Show in the high desert in Redmond, Oregon has just concluded. The results:
Sr. Grand Champion
Grand Champion: HANSON HIDEAWAY BV CANDY
Exhibitor: AMANDA HANSON
Breeder: AMANDA HANSON
Fun Facts About the Champion:
Talk about hitting the jackpot, Candy is one of a set of quintuplet does born on April Fool’s Day.
Since I am not a statistician I asked ChatGPT – ‘what are the odds of quintuplet does if we assume (ballparking) that the odds of having quintuplets in the first place are about 1 in 100?’
0.01 (quintuplets) * 0.03125 (all female) = 0.0003125.
This means that the odds of any given pregnancy resulting in all-female quintuplets would be roughly 0.0003125, or about 1 in 3200. Again, this is a somewhat simplified model and actual probabilities could be different depending on various factors.
Ok Chatty, what are the odds of one of those does becoming National Champion, just for fun:
If we consider the odds of having all-female quintuplets as 1 in 3200 (from our previous calculation) and the odds of one of those females becoming a national champion as 1 in 10,000, we multiply these two probabilities together to get:
1/3200 (quintuplet girls) * 1/10000 (national champion) = 1/32,000,000.
This means the odds of any given pregnancy resulting in quintuplet does, one of whom goes on to become a national champion, would be roughly 1 in 32,000,000, under these assumptions.
This is a highly simplified model, and the actual probability would depend on numerous factors, including genetics, training, environment, and so on. It’s important to note that becoming a breed champion is not simply a matter of chance; it involves careful breeding for desirable traits, as well as extensive training and care.
Candy lives in Washington at Hansons Hideaway. Her dam is Gladdie Acres CC Reeses. Reeses is a 2021 Breedleader for butterfat. Reeses is in a very elite club of Nigerian does who have produced more than 100 lbs of butterfat in a lactation.
Reserve Grand Champion: URBAN ACRES SNOW WHITE
Exhibitor: JENA WILLIAMS
Breeder: JENA WILLIAMS
Junior Champion: LIL MISS B HAVEN GC DREAMGIRL
Exhibitor: BENTLY CARTER
Breeder: BENTLY CARTER
Best Udder: HANSON HIDEAWAY BV CANDY
Reserve Best Udder: URBAN ACRES ASD FAIREY
Exhibitor: DONALD WILLIAMS
Breeder: DONALD WILLIAMS
Best Three Junior Does: LIL MISS B HAVEN
Junior Get of Sire: AGAPE’S PRIZE GOLD CENTERFOLD
Dairy Herd: URBAN ACRES
Best Three Senior Does: URBAN ACRES
Senior Get of Sire: CH AGAPE’S PRIZE COUNTN ON QUINN
Produce of Dam: CH WOODBRIDGE FARM UNPRESIDENTED
Dam and Daughter: CH AGAPE’S PRIZE FRENCH QUARTER
High 305 Milk: WEE3FARMS D ROSEMARY
High 305 Fat: WEE3FARMS D ROSEMARY
High Lifetime Milk: HANSONS HIDEAWAY FARM ALMNDJOY
High Lifetime Fat: HANSONS HIDEAWAY FARM ALMNDJOY